By 2023, the share of minibuses and Keyway will not fall

By 2023, the share of minibuses and Keyway will not fall

By 2023, the share of minibuses and Keyway will not fall

The share of large buses by 2023 will be higher


author

Alexander Klimov, photo by the author



In the baseline forecast RAMR share of sales of small buses will grow by 2023 to 51.7% versus 47.5 percent in 2017.

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Serial and advanced bus GAZelle NEXT Citiline the exhibition Busworid-2016

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A new generation of small buses "GAZ Vector NEXT" will undoubtedly remain the most widespread and in the first half of the 2020s  


Medium buses are greatly losing out from 26.4% in 2017 to 17.3% in 2023.

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Popular in the Capital low-floor midibus GAS "Cursor"

  the Share of large buses increased from 22.3% to 26%.
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The first prototype electric bus LiAZ-6474 successfully tested on the streets of Moscow

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In the beginning of 2018 GAZ Group has unveiled a modernised electric bus LiAZ

  
The number of particularly large machines will grow from 3.9% to 4.9%.

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Buses extra large class this can be megabusa such as MAN Lion's City 6x2 photo

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...as well as articulated (pictured undergoing testing in Moscow Volzhanin 6271 "Sitiritm-18") 

Thus, the total roll of the market in the direction of small buses will continue, but on the opposite end of the segment will increase the demand for large and very large machines. The latter relate exclusively to urban models.

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Very futuristic bus Grigny Belarusian Belkommunmash А420 "Vytautas Hybrid" will become obsolete and in 2020-m


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 According to forecasts of JSC "ASM-holding", the market size of buses (including minibuses) in 2020 will increase up to 54 thousand of which imports will account for no more than 5 thousand, at "Russian cars" – 14 thousand, and domestic brand – 35 thousand By 2025, the bus market is not less than 64 thousand, where import have 6 thousand, at "Russian cars" – 17 thousand, and on domestic brands – 41 thousand


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Small buses also will be properly spread – the photo of the prototype GAS "Vahtan", shown at the exhibition COMTRANS'17


Assuming these values, it is just a particularly large class will have about 3.2 million, and the middle class 10.9 thousand despite the fact that in 2017 it saw 11,35 thousand, i.e. the actual reduction in physical sales will be significantly lower (about 4-5%).

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New Russian buses of all classes of dimension at Bus festival "Kolomna–2016"



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