What fuel will go to the Russians by 2023?

15 October 2018

In the coming five years great changes on the Russian fuel market is not going to happen

According to the report "Automotive market of Russia", presented at the IX RAMR "International Week of Lubricants – 2018" to 01.07.2018 the country is still a high proportion of vehicles with traditional gasoline and diesel engines.
In five years – by 2023, the situation in the Russian automotive Park will not change dramatically, just increase the proportion of diesel vehicles and engines to alternative fuels.
Thus, according to the baseline scenario RAMR, the number of cars with bi-fuel/gas engines (only conveyor production, i.e. excluding Poltavtseva conversion), for example, in the Park of trucks (MCV+HCV) will increase from 10.8 to 18.6 million (+72%).

In the Park of LCVs, their share will grow from 133.3 thousand to 204,9 thousand (+54%).

At the bus Park – 17.4 thousand to 24.0 million (+38%).
 the Automobile Park of hybrids and electric cars will grow, respectively, by 18% (to 282,8 million) and 32% (to 3.3 million).

According to experts RAMR radical changes on the market of cars on alternative fuels is possible only if a comprehensive state support buyers and producers. I.e. buyers have to overcome their prejudice against the dangers of alternative fuels is limited and filling (charging network) and to shell out for more expensive than base (petrol and diesel) cars and the manufacturers, consequently, fears that their capital investment in the production of such machines will be out of business due to low consumer demand.
 

Filling of gas fuel possible with container modular stations (photo on the splash screen) or such mobile gas filling stations 

It turns out that is to say, the dilemma of the "chicken and egg", the supposedly insurmountable without state intervention, however, for the state, I think it would be important not to thump the market a regular state subsidies, but simply to set out clear rules of the game for car manufacturers and auto service companies that converted cars to natural gas and liberalize the requirements of placement of AGNs in a residential area, Electrozariad stations on the underground Parking garage, etc.

While the Russians are more likely to see electric cars and their recharging stations at exhibitions (top photo on "the gas Station-2017" and the bottom at Mobilistic'18), than on the streets