Automotive exports from Russia showed a sudden increase by a third

Automotive exports from Russia showed a sudden increase by a third

Automotive exports from Russia showed a sudden increase by a third

6 November 2019

State program to stimulate autoexport give the seedlings


Alexander Klimov, photos

As writes "Kommersant" the head of the Russian export centre (REC) Andrei Slepnev during a meeting with Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev stated that: "From Germany customers do visit, ask them to find Russian suppliers, because the ratio of "price–quality" better alternatives". And this despite the fact that the shortage of competitive suppliers first and second level in Russia (according to ASM-holding) is just huge! FCS provides statistics for January–August, the growth of physical exports of passenger cars by 27.3% to 73.4 thousand, and the money, in General, by 32.1% to $1 billion! In the REC argued that this result was obtained due to the effect of pent-up demand and "growing" in the global auto market and believe that the growth of exports for the year will be at least 10%.
In the cargo segment, the growth is more modest 0.1% to 8.4 thousand physically and 12.7% to $218,5 billion in financial. Last year over the same period, there was stagnation in passenger cars and an increase of 3.6% on the truck.

According to experts of SBS Consulting this growth was due to the state program of export promotion on the background of stagnation of the internal market. I.e. with the reduction of sales of cars in Russia in January–September by 2% to 1.27 million (according to AEB), the growth of production of passenger cars amounted to 1.1% to 1.1 million, and trucks – 5.7% to 14.5 thousand Accelerated growth of the value of exports may be caused by the complexity of logistics as well as customized designs and packaging of cars, and so the Last quarter of the year for autoexport is traditionally the "high season" that allows you to predict the increase in supply to $4-4. 2 billion at the end of this year.

By the way, in October, the head of Minpromtorg Denis Manturov declared in the media that he expects to save volume car production at the level of the 2018 or "a definite plus". And until the end of the year will focus specifically on the growth of exports of complete vehicles and automotive parts.

The main markets are Belarus (27%) and Kazakhstan (23%), i.e., the two neighboring countries account for half of the exports, then with a huge gap followed by Turkey (7%), Czech Republic (6.3 percent), Uzbekistan (6%) and China (5%). While passenger cars accounted for 44% of growth in the trailers (+34%) and transport (+11%) and trucks (+4%). Export the rating of the Ministry of industry and trade includes Belarus, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan, Algeria, Czech Republic, Cuba, among the exporters are the leaders of AVTOVAZ, Volkswagen, Renault and Hyundai. In addition, Nissan has exported to Kazakhstan and Belarus 3 thousand crossover models Qashqai, X-Trail, Murano and Terrano. Delivery of Toyota in January–August of physically increased by 44%, mainly to Kazakhstan and Belarus. Managing Director Lars Himmer "Volkswagen group Rus" in late October, told "Kommersant" that the company for the year expects to export 24 thousand cars, and also collect in Kaluga motors.

Export of KAMAZ trucks for the first nine months rose 58% to 3.4 thousand Major countries of export growth, Uzbekistan and Vietnam. Traditionally one of the main external partners of the Kama automobile plant remains Kazakhstan. Volvo Trucks in 2019 continues the supply of cabs the production of Kaluga plant "Volvo Vostok" in Ghent (in 2018 exported 1.8 thousand), and even considering the possibility of supply of complete vehicles in Europe and Asia.

PS That's still not worth it to beat the drums and sound the trumpets – in any serious force on "the global automotive market" our country is not yet converted. What we now have called the automobile export is actually a former intra delivery (by the way, now just without the Ukraine, Georgia, etc.), as well as exports to countries within the borders of the former COMECON (the Czech Republic, Vietnam, Cuba). Delivery to the Czech Republic, Turkey and China are insignificant. So, what to say about the "growing" of the Russian automotive industry in the global automotive exports – still seems like wishful thinking. Over India with their 4-million market (in 2018) and 4.7 million industry (export 0.8 million) also "grows". Well, where does she get their cars to push for regional outside South Asia and the poorest countries of Africa, i.e., neighboring countries, despite the constant premieres at major international motor shows? Here's what it is! Well, the domestic AVTOVAZ so far as the export of its model offers 42-year-old "Niva" (i.e., sorry LADA 4x4) is with respect to the design of the car was clearly not evidence, and advanced positions in the industry. As for the other model line in connection with the introduction in Europe of the environmental standards Euro 6+ in Togliatti found nothing better than just to leave the markets of all European countries! The fact that in the export list, Togliatti still 34 countries – so this data is the current year due to the sale of effluent in Europe, what will it be next year – the big question. Well, deliveries to the Czech Republic, by the way, not a breakthrough of the Russian automotive industry 2.0 in Europe, but simply the internal is purely logistical maneuver Skoda (she, for example, in 2017 and delivered to itself has been removed from production house crossover Yeti is assembled in Nizhny Novgorod). The supplies to Turkey and China is not so much the competitiveness of our machines, as the supply in the systems of weapons and "friendship against US", for example, Ankara.

So that if it were not for you! 4.5 billion of subsidies to autoexport from the state, then there is a rhetorical question, and no matter how much outside Russia was set to vehicles with Russian WIN th? Is there any profit at all from export subsidies? That in addition to maintaining capacity utilization of the industry (which in fact today half – "melkogravijnye designer"), ie says ASM-holding: out of the country for import of components and assemblies exported to order more money than it creates surplus value..


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